Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.455065 0.586580 0.729248 0.893474 1.075442 1.269272 1.489799
2025-03-16 0.249184 0.415016 0.616235 0.867856 1.165405 1.498996 1.894886
2025-03-23 0.165937 0.343631 0.578603 0.888970 1.270455 1.710311 2.243752
2025-03-30 0.103573 0.279660 0.535602 0.892081 1.345648 1.881159 2.542141
2025-04-06 0.056533 0.218965 0.483274 0.872258 1.383888 2.001180 2.775036
2025-04-13 0.037156 0.197399 0.481529 0.915396 1.498077 2.210345 3.111458
2025-04-20 0.023636 0.180179 0.482453 0.959498 1.611639 2.417496 3.444617
2025-04-27 0.014952 0.168667 0.489896 1.011106 1.733907 2.634743 3.789578
2025-05-04 0.011523 0.170683 0.519540 1.094444 1.897954 2.903981 4.197631
2025-05-11 0.006439 0.160875 0.526596 1.143629 2.015995 3.115536 4.535707
2025-05-18 0.001680 0.139756 0.509613 1.154952 2.081911 3.260833 4.792566
2025-05-25 NaN 0.100885 0.450247 1.096840 2.050257 3.280498 4.893905
2025-06-01 NaN 0.065806 0.389236 1.033968 2.013951 3.299041 5.001635
2025-06-08 NaN 0.044346 0.350220 1.002583 2.019630 3.370743 5.175229
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036655 0.344679 1.026377 2.103104 3.542836 5.473317
2025-06-22 NaN 0.026963 0.328327 1.029459 2.155591 3.673776 5.719543
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016252 0.300093 1.008139 2.170485 3.753902 5.900845
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014777 0.308483 1.054653 2.286278 3.968359 6.252521
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013547 0.317429 1.102155 2.403618 4.185036 6.607255
2025-07-20 NaN 0.013172 0.330510 1.157643 2.533124 4.418199 6.983232
2025-07-27 NaN 0.016043 0.361066 1.247055 2.714069 4.720571 7.447628
2025-08-03 NaN 0.015327 0.372565 1.299721 2.839639 4.948869 7.817954
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011185 0.363370 1.311836 2.903692 5.094571 8.083105